
Tommy Bengtsson
Professor

The Ageing Population
Författare
Redaktör
- Tommy Bengtsson
Summary, in English
The process of population ageing that has been occurring in Sweden can be expected to continue during the coming decades, the population pyramid will become increasingly rectangular, and possibly even demonstrating a shrinking base. This will lead to increasing challenges in terms of financing pensions, elderly care and healtcare. These problems will continue for at least 30 years with no demographic solutions available. Immigration is not likely to offset population ageing to any larger degree, and even dramatic increases in fertility reates would take 25-30 years to have any positive effect. Since increasing tax rates seems unlikely, the most viable solution lies in an expansion of the workforce and the resulting increase of the tax base. If we rely solely on increasing the retirement age to provide the increased hours worked, we would need to raise the minimum retirement age by roughly 5 years until 2050. While this might be possible, it is more likely that the solution lies not in this or any other single measure but in a combination thereof. However, expanding hours worked not only requires incentives but also job opportunities. Thus the policy should aim not only at expanding the labour supply but also labour demand.
Avdelning/ar
- Centrum för ekonomisk demografi
- Ekonomisk-historiska institutionen
- eSSENCE: The e-Science Collaboration
- EpiHealth: Epidemiology for Health
Publiceringsår
2010
Språk
Engelska
Sidor
7-22
Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie
Population Ageing - A Threat to the Welfare State? The Case of Sweden
Dokumenttyp
Del av eller Kapitel i bok
Förlag
Springer
Ämne
- Economic History
Aktiv
Published
ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt
- ISBN: 978-3-642-12611-6